Hot or Cold

BAX stock sentiment todayBaxter International Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — COLD at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

BAX

Baxter International Inc.
23.49 USD▼ 1.47%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Oct 3, 10:28 PM UTC
Dividend 0.17% yield · 0.04 USD/sh
COLD85% confidenceSign in to save

A struggling legacy medtech giant facing heavy debt, operational headwinds, and a massive spin-off execution risk.

Analyzed Oct 3, 2026, 09:46 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“BAX is COLD — A struggling legacy medtech giant facing heavy debt, operational headwinds, and a massive spin-off execution risk. 6-month call: USD22.46 (-4.4%).”
6-month price prediction
USD22.46▼ 4.4%by Apr 2027
60% model confidence
Bear USD15.49Now USD23.49Bull USD29.42
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for BAX. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

15.80 – 28.35 USD
Growth
1W
+0.5%
1M
-8.6%
3M
+4.0%
6M
+41.1%
YTD
+20.5%
1Y
-1.6%
01

Gossip

bearish

The market is losing patience with Baxter's prolonged turnaround and the delayed spin-off of its Vantive (Kidney Care) segment. Investor sentiment is weighed down by the recent SEC investigation into accounting errors and the massive debt load following the Hillrom acquisition.

  • ·Vantive spin-off delays and execution risk
  • ·Supply chain disruptions in IV solutions (Hurricane Helene impacts)
  • ·Lack of confidence in management's ability to de-lever
02

Financial

weak

Baxter is fundamentally challenged by a high debt-to-EBITDA ratio and thinning margins. While the company generates consistent cash flow, it is heavily diverted to interest payments rather than R&D or growth.

  • ·P/E Ratio (Forward): ~8.5x (indicates value trap territory)
  • ·Net Debt: ~$11B (high leverage relative to market cap)
  • ·Operating Margin: Under pressure due to inflationary costs in medical supplies
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
48%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·High interest rate sensitivity due to floating debt exposure
  • ·Competitive erosion in the medication delivery market
  • ·Potential for further asset impairment charges
05

Analyst price target

HOT
26.00 USD▲ 10.7% vs current

Consensus average of 11 analysts · median 27.00

Low 21.00High 29.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-13

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.