Hot or Cold

CLF stock sentiment todayCleveland-Cliffs Inc

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 65% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
11.27 USD▼ 10.84%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 5, 09:10 PM UTC
Dividend 2.13% yield · 0.24 USD/sh
NEUTRAL65% confidenceSign in to save

A vertically integrated steel giant currently trapped between aggressive management optimism and a deteriorating short-term pricing environment.

Analyzed Nov 5, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“CLF is NEUTRAL — A vertically integrated steel giant currently trapped between aggressive management optimism and a deteriorating short-term pricing environment. 6-month call: USD12.00 (+6.5%).”
6-month price prediction
USD12.00▲ 6.5%by May 2027
73% model confidence
Bear USD6.54Now USD11.27Bull USD17.46
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for CLF. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

7.82 – 15.09 USD
Growth
1W
+1.7%
1M
+15.9%
3M
+11.8%
6M
+32.8%
YTD
+4.0%
1Y
+34.5%
01

Gossip

mixed

The narrative is a tug-of-war: CEO Lourenco Goncalves remains ultra-bullish on demand and debt reduction, while the market is punishing the stock for missing near-term earnings expectations and cyclical steel price weakness.

  • ·Optimism over potential M&A activity (U.S. Steel fallout)
  • ·Strong demand from the automotive sector
  • ·Massive share buyback programs
  • ·Short-term price volatility leading to double-digit intraday drops
02

Financial

average

CLF has significantly improved its balance sheet since the AK Steel/ArcelorMittal acquisitions, but remains sensitive to HRC (Hot Rolled Coil) prices and high fixed labor costs.

  • ·Forward P/E around 9.5x suggests undervaluation relative to historical norms
  • ·Substantial reduction in net debt to under $3.5B
  • ·Variable production costs improving but margin compression remains a risk
  • ·Strong free cash flow yield despite revenue misses
02b

Conviction

Strong

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

69conviction score / 100

Strong conviction — insiders and patient capital are backing this.

  • ·Insiders bought a net $100K on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
1
Net insider flow
$100K
Patient capital
55%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Exposure to cooling Hot Rolled Coil (HRC) spot prices
  • ·Concentration risk in the automotive end-market
  • ·Increased capital expenditure requirements for blast furnace maintenance
05

Analyst price target

HOT
13.65 USD▲ 21.1% vs current

Consensus average of 10 analysts · median 14.00

Low 11.00High 18.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-30

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.