DK stock sentiment todayDelek US Holdings Inc
Sentiment verdict
Gossip first, financials second — COLD at 85% confidence.
Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically
DK
Delek US Holdings IncDelek is struggling with high leverage and operational inefficiency in a softening refining margin environment, making it a laggard in the downstream space.
Pick a name and you can add your own 1-, 3- and 6-month price calls — no account needed. The needle above shows where the crowd sits. Calls lock 48 hours after you make them, so every scorecard stays honest.
You'll show up on boards and The Floor under this name. Add an email later to keep your history.
No account needed. You can add an email later to keep your calls.
Already have an account? Sign in
See exactly how analyst targets, gossip sentiment and momentum are weighted into this 6-month forecast.
Sign in to go Pro →Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for DK. Not financial advice.
Price · last 12 months
Gossip
The market narrative centers on the 'sum-of-the-parts' (SOTP) unlocking through the simplification of its midstream ownership, but skepticism remains high due to consistent earnings misses and a lack of clear catalysts compared to larger peers.
- ·Strategic review of midstream assets (Delek Logistics Partners)
- ·Refining crack spread compression
- ·Speculation on asset sales or M&A to shore up the balance sheet
Financial
DK faces significant headwinds with a high debt-to-capital ratio and a history of negative free cash flow during margin downturns. Valuation appears cheap on paper but is justified by lower complexity scores and higher breakeven costs.
- ·Negative Trailing P/E due to recent losses
- ·High Debt/Equity ratio relative to independent refiners
- ·Below-average refining complexity (Nelson Complexity Index)
Conviction
Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.
Hollow — insiders are stepping back and the register is short-horizon.
- ·Insiders sold a net $2.1M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.
Unlock with Pro →Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.
Risks
- ·Narrower Brent-WTI spreads reducing feedstock advantage
- ·Operational volatility and unplanned maintenance downtime
- ·Dependency on Delek Logistics (DKL) distributions to service corporate debt
Peer temperature
How direct competitors stack up against DK right now.
- HOTMPCMarathon Petroleum Corp
HOTTER — Superior scale and massive share buyback program supported by a much stronger balance sheet.
See full analysis → - NEUTRALPSXPhillips 66
WARMER — More diversified revenue streams in midstream and chemicals provide a safety net that DK lacks.
See full analysis → - NEUTRALPBFPBF Energy
WARMER — Better operational leverage to East Coast/West Coast margins and a cleaner capital structure following recent deleveraging.
See full analysis →
- DK+11.3%
- MPC+19.5%
- PSX+18.0%
- PBF+12.5%
Analyst price target
Consensus average of 11 analysts · median 62.00
Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-18
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.