Hot or Cold

FAST stock sentiment todayFastenal Company

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

FAST

Fastenal Company
51.91 USD▼ 2.17%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:41 AM UTC
Dividend 2.00% yield · 1.04 USD/sh
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

A premium-valuation defensive play facing cyclical industrial headwinds and stagnant top-line growth.

Analyzed Oct 31, 2026, 10:44 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“FAST is NEUTRAL — A premium-valuation defensive play facing cyclical industrial headwinds and stagnant top-line growth. 6-month call: USD53.36 (+2.8%).”
6-month price prediction
USD53.36▲ 2.8%by May 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD44.15Now USD51.91Bull USD62.58
Crowd call · 6 months
No predictions yet

Pick a name and you can add your own 1-, 3- and 6-month price calls — no account needed. The needle above shows where the crowd sits. Calls lock 48 hours after you make them, so every scorecard stays honest.

Make your call as a guest

You'll show up on boards and The Floor under this name. Add an email later to keep your history.

No account needed. You can add an email later to keep your calls.

Already have an account? Sign in

🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

See exactly how analyst targets, gossip sentiment and momentum are weighted into this 6-month forecast.

Sign in to go Pro →

Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for FAST. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

39.15 – 52.73 USD
Growth
1W
+0.0%
1M
+4.8%
3M
+7.9%
6M
+15.7%
YTD
+28.4%
1Y
+26.1%
01

Gossip

mixed

Media mentions are currently drowned out by broader tech volatility and 'fast' keyword noise; however, institutional support remains stable with recent position increases by major retirement systems.

  • ·Institutional accumulation by Virginia Retirement Systems
  • ·Macro sensitivity to industrial production indices
  • ·Collateral sentiment from general manufacturing sector slowdown
02

Financial

strong

Fastenal maintains an industry-leading balance sheet with high ROIC and best-in-class margins, though recent organic growth has slowed due to soft manufacturing demand.

  • ·Operating Margin: ~20% (Industry Leading)
  • ·P/E Ratio: ~25x (Premium to historical average)
  • ·Dividend Yield: ~2.9%
  • ·ROIC: >30%
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

36conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $2.5M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$2.5M
Patient capital
67%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

Unlock with Pro →

Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Exposure to cyclical downturns in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
  • ·Slowdown in onsite vending machine installations
  • ·Valuation compression if interest rates stay higher for longer
05

Analyst price target

NEUTRAL
52.00 USD▲ 0.2% vs current

Consensus average of 11 analysts · median 52.00

Low 46.00High 60.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-29

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.