Hot or Cold

FN stock sentiment todayFabrinet

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

FN

Fabrinet
327.29 USD▲ 0.00%vs. previous close
Pre-market · market closedQuote as of Nov 2, 11:10 AM UTC
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

The ultimate 'picks and shovels' play for AI networking, riding the Blackwell transition and 800G optical transceiver wave.

Analyzed Nov 1, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“FN is HOT — The ultimate 'picks and shovels' play for AI networking, riding the Blackwell transition and 800G optical transceiver wave. 6-month call: USD431.80 (+31.9%).”
6-month price prediction
USD431.80▲ 31.9%by May 2027
42% model confidence
Bear USD192.49Now USD327.29Bull USD671.10
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for FN. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

314.94 – 746.47 USD
Growth
1W
+3.9%
1M
-22.9%
3M
-28.2%
6M
-54.4%
YTD
-31.7%
1Y
-26.1%
01

Gossip

bullish

Market chatter is heavily focused on Fabrinet's role as the primary manufacturing partner for NVIDIA's high-speed optical interconnects. Investors are betting on the massive ramp-up of 800G and 1.6T transceivers required for next-gen AI clusters.

  • ·NVIDIA partnership dominance
  • ·Transition from 400G to 800G optical modules
  • ·Potential move into Silicon Photonics assembly
  • ·Supply chain shift toward Thailand-based manufacturing
02

Financial

strong

Exceptional operational efficiency with a clean balance sheet characterized by zero debt and high cash reserves. Growth is currently decoupled from the broader telecom slump due to explosive Datacom (AI) revenue.

  • ·Forward P/E ~32x (premium but justified by AI exposure)
  • ·Gross Margins stable around 12-13% despite high-mix manufacturing
  • ·Datacom revenue growing double-digits YoY
  • ·Zero long-term debt
02b

Conviction

Hollow

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

32conviction score / 100

Hollow hype — the story is loud but nobody with skin in the game is buying.

Hollow hype — the chatter and the money are pointing in opposite directions. That divergence is the signal.
  • ·Insiders sold a net $965K on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$965K
Patient capital
55%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Extreme revenue concentration (top 2 customers represent >50% of sales)
  • ·Cyclicality in the traditional telecom sector
  • ·Execution risk in ramping 1.6T production capacity
05

Analyst price target

HOT
659.86 USD▲ 101.6% vs current

Consensus average of 7 analysts · median 695.00

Low 385.00High 800.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-30

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.