Hot or Cold

GTBIF stock sentiment todayGreen Thumb Industries Inc

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

OTCQX

GTBIF

Green Thumb Industries Inc
6.70 USD▲ 4.52%vs. session open
Live · market openQuote as of Nov 3, 08:59 PM UTC
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

The most fundamentally sound U.S. cannabis operator, trading at a steep discount due to regulatory delays rather than operational failures.

Analyzed Nov 3, 2026, 11:33 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“GTBIF is HOT — The most fundamentally sound U.S. cannabis operator, trading at a steep discount due to regulatory delays rather than operational failures. 6-month call: USD7.19 (+7.4%).”
6-month price prediction
USD7.19▲ 7.4%by May 2027
64% model confidence
Bear USD3.11Now USD6.70Bull USD11.28
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for GTBIF. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

5.29 – 9.69 USD
Growth
1W
+0.8%
1M
-1.5%
3M
-4.3%
6M
-20.4%
YTD
-20.3%
1Y
-6.4%
01

Gossip

bullish

Market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive regarding GTBIF's operational efficiency, though clouded by technical volatility and short-interest spikes. Analysts are increasingly vocal that the stock is 'priced too low' despite a 17% YTD drop, focusing on a long-term 'buy the dip' narrative ahead of potential federal rescheduling.

  • ·DEA rescheduling uncertainty
  • ·Q3 earnings anticipation (Nov 4)
  • ·Institutional interest vs. retail shorting
  • ·Consistent cash flow outperformance
02

Financial

strong

Green Thumb is a rarity in the cannabis sector: a GAAP-profitable Multi-State Operator (MSO) with positive free cash flow and a pristine balance sheet. While growth has slowed to single digits, their ability to maintain 50%+ gross margins and $200M+ in cash distinguishes them from debt-laden peers.

  • ·Positive GAAP Net Income
  • ·Free Cash Flow positive for 10+ consecutive quarters
  • ·Low Debt-to-Equity compared to MSO average
  • ·EV/EBITDA significantly below historical averages
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

46conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $38K on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$38K
Patient capital
—
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Continued federal illegality (280E tax burden remains until Schedule III finalization)
  • ·Lack of Tier-1 exchange listing (stuck on OTCQX)
  • ·Price compression in mature markets like Illinois and Pennsylvania

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.