Hot or Cold

HIG stock sentiment todayThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

HIG

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
132.59 USD▼ 1.28%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:45 AM UTC
Dividend 2.02% yield · 2.68 USD/sh
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

A highly efficient cash-flow machine benefiting from a hardening P&C market and aggressive share buybacks.

Analyzed Oct 31, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“HIG is HOT — A highly efficient cash-flow machine benefiting from a hardening P&C market and aggressive share buybacks. 6-month call: USD141.74 (+6.9%).”
6-month price prediction
USD141.74▲ 6.9%by May 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD121.66Now USD132.59Bull USD161.82
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for HIG. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

122.36 – 145.68 USD
Growth
1W
-3.0%
1M
+8.4%
3M
-7.2%
6M
-0.9%
YTD
-3.3%
1Y
+6.8%
01

Gossip

bullish

Market narrative focuses on HIG's successful pivot away from life insurance toward high-margin Commercial Lines. Sentiment is bolstered by consistent earnings beats and the company's reputation for disciplined underwriting in a high-interest-rate environment.

  • ·Hardening premium rates in Commercial Lines
  • ·Increased investment income from higher yields
  • ·Robust capital return story (buybacks and dividends)
02

Financial

strong

HIG exhibits industry-leading ROE (frequently near 20%) and a stellar combined ratio. Its balance sheet is de-risked following the Talcott Resolution exit, focusing now on high-cash-flow P&C and Group Benefits.

  • ·P/E Ratio: ~11-12x (Attractive vs historical average)
  • ·Combined Ratio: Sub-90% in core commercial segments
  • ·Dividend Yield: ~1.5% with double-digit growth CAGR
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
69%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Exposure to social inflation and rising litigation costs in liability lines
  • ·Catastrophe losses (hurricanes/wildfires) impacting Personal Lines
  • ·Potential pressure on margins if commercial pricing plateaus
05

Analyst price target

HOT
146.56 USD▲ 10.5% vs current

Consensus average of 16 analysts · median 146.00

Low 135.00High 163.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-30

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.