IBKR stock sentiment todayInteractive Brokers Group Inc
Sentiment verdict
Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.
Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group IncA premier low-cost broker benefiting from high interest rates and a robust proprietary tech stack that commands industry-leading margins.
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See exactly how analyst targets, gossip sentiment and momentum are weighted into this 6-month forecast.
Sign in to go Pro →Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for IBKR. Not financial advice.
Price · last 12 months
Gossip
The market views IBKR as the 'professional's choice,' gaining traction from the migration of sophisticated retail traders and hedge funds away from legacy banks. Chatter focuses on their ability to capture 'net interest income' (NII) in a higher-for-longer rate environment and their aggressive expansion into international markets where competitors lack infrastructure.
- ·Significant growth in customer accounts (20%+ YoY)
- ·High sensitivity to interest rate hikes boosting cash yields
- ·Perception as a 'safe haven' broker with high capital buffers
Financial
IBKR boasts a phenomenal pretax profit margin (approx. 70%), driven by extreme automation and low headcount relative to assets under custody. While trading commissions are compressed, NII provides a massive tailwind. The balance sheet is fortress-like with no long-term debt.
- ·P/E Ratio: ~18-19x (attractive relative to historical growth)
- ·Pretax Margin: ~71%
- ·Return on Equity (ROE): ~18%
- ·Annual Net Account Growth: ~22-25%
Conviction
Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.
Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.
- ·Insiders sold a net $2.1M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.
Unlock with Pro →Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.
Risks
- ·Sensitivity to declining interest rates (Fed pivots)
- ·Regulatory scrutiny on payment for order flow (PFOF) and margin lending
- ·High dependence on founder Thomas Peterffy's vision/leadership
Peer temperature
How direct competitors stack up against IBKR right now.
- NEUTRALSCHWCharles Schwab
COLDER — Facing 'cash sorting' headwinds and significant unrealized losses on its bank-side bond portfolio that IBKR avoids.
See full analysis → - COLDHOODRobinhood Markets
COLDER — Higher valuation premiums and a less stable user base that is highly sensitive to crypto volatility compared to IBKR’s institutional clients.
See full analysis → - NEUTRALMSMorgan Stanley (E*TRADE)
COLDER — Massive legacy overhead and lower margins as the brokerage business is buried within a complex global investment bank.
See full analysis →
- IBKR-10.0%
- SCHW-9.9%
- HOOD-24.5%
- MS-2.0%
Analyst price target
Consensus average of 12 analysts · median 105.00
Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-20
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.