Hot or Cold

IEF stock sentiment todayiShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

IEF

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
91.01 USD 0.35%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 12, 07:06 AM UTC
Dividend 4.07% yield · 3.70 USD/sh
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

IEF is a high-sensitivity play on the 'higher-for-longer' interest rate narrative, currently caught between a cooling labor market and stubborn fiscal deficits.

Analyzed Sep 12, 2026, 02:23 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneIEF is NEUTRAL — IEF is a high-sensitivity play on the 'higher-for-longer' interest rate narrative, currently caught between a cooling labor market and stubborn fiscal deficits. 6-month call: USD90.10 (-1.0%).
6-month price prediction
USD90.10 1.0%by Mar 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD84.69Now USD91.01Bull USD95.51
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for IEF. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

91.0197.99 USD
Growth
1W
-1.3%
1M
-2.1%
3M
-3.5%
6M
-5.2%
YTD
-5.3%
1Y
-6.2%
01

Gossip

mixed

Market chatter is dominated by the 'Fed Pivot' timeline; bulls are betting on a slowing economy to trigger rate cuts, while bears point to a 'higher-for-longer' stance due to sticky inflation and massive Treasury issuance.

  • ·Fed interest rate trajectory
  • ·Monthly Non-Farm Payroll volatility
  • ·US Treasury auction demand concerns
  • ·Recession hedging flows
02

Financial

strong

As a government bond ETF, credit risk is virtually zero (backed by US Treasury), but duration risk is high; the fund is currently yielding roughly 4.0-4.2% with a 7.5-year effective duration.

  • ·Expense Ratio: 0.15%
  • ·Effective Duration: ~7.5 years
  • ·SEC Yield: ~4.1%
  • ·AUM: >$25 billion
03

Risks

watch
  • ·Interest rate risk: A 1% rise in rates would cause an approximate 7.5% drop in price
  • ·Inflation re-acceleration
  • ·Increased supply of Treasuries to fund government deficit

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.