Hot or Cold

KGC stock sentiment todayKinross Gold Corporation

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

KGC

Kinross Gold Corporation
30.87 USD 0.03%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 7, 12:36 PM UTC
Dividend 0.52% yield · 0.16 USD/sh
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

A top-tier mid-major gold producer offering a rare combination of high yields, low valuation, and a massive production catalyst in Alaska.

Analyzed Sep 7, 2026, 08:09 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneKGC is HOT — A top-tier mid-major gold producer offering a rare combination of high yields, low valuation, and a massive production catalyst in Alaska. 6-month call: USD36.32 (+17.7%).
6-month price prediction
USD36.32 17.7%by Mar 2027
57% model confidence
Bear USD22.23Now USD30.87Bull USD50.41
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for KGC. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

22.2638.07 USD
Growth
1W
-1.3%
1M
+20.1%
3M
+19.4%
6M
-5.1%
YTD
+9.1%
1Y
+37.0%
01

Gossip

bullish

The narrative has shifted from Kinross being a 'geopolitical risk' play (post-Russia exit) to a 'cash cow' story. Analysts are buzzing about the Great Bear project and the company's aggressive share buyback program which signals management's belief that the stock is undervalued compared to peers.

  • ·Great Bear (Dixie) project development
  • ·Aggressive share buyback program
  • ·Safe-haven demand amid macro volatility
  • ·Resolution of West African operational concerns
02

Financial

strong

Kinross boasts one of the most attractive valuation profiles in the senior gold space, trading at a significant discount to NAV while maintaining a robust dividend yield (approx 3%) and a strong investment-grade balance sheet.

  • ·P/CF: ~5.5x (vs Industry average 8-9x)
  • ·All-in Sustaining Cost (AISC): ~$1,350/oz
  • ·Net Debt/EBITDA: ~0.6x
  • ·Free Cash Flow Yield: >8%
02b

Conviction

Hollow

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

35conviction score / 100

Hollow hype — the story is loud but nobody with skin in the game is buying.

Hollow hype — the chatter and the money are pointing in opposite directions. That divergence is the signal.
  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
Patient capital
27%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Gold price volatility impacting margins
  • ·Permitting and execution risks at the Great Bear project
  • ·Jurisdictional risk in Mauritania (Tasiast mine)
05

Analyst price target

HOT
40.28 USD 30.5% vs current

Consensus average of 10 analysts · median 39.89

Low 30.00High 54.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-03

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.