Hot or Cold

LKQ stock sentiment todayLKQ Corp

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — COLD at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

LKQ

LKQ Corp
24.90 USD 2.14%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 8, 08:00 PM UTC
Dividend 4.82% yield · 1.20 USD/sh
COLD75% confidenceSign in to save

LKQ is currently catching a falling knife as Q2 earnings misses and strategic uncertainty outweigh its attractive paper valuation.

Analyzed Sep 8, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneLKQ is COLD — LKQ is currently catching a falling knife as Q2 earnings misses and strategic uncertainty outweigh its attractive paper valuation. 6-month call: USD25.29 (+1.6%).
6-month price prediction
USD25.29 1.6%by Mar 2027
75% model confidence
Bear USD18.94Now USD24.90Bull USD31.63
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for LKQ. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

22.4534.80 USD
Growth
1W
+0.0%
1M
+5.9%
3M
+1.9%
6M
-18.5%
YTD
-15.0%
1Y
-21.7%
01

Gossip

bearish

The narrative is dominated by a significant Q2 earnings plunge and rumors of a potential sale or divestiture, leading to high volatility and legal scrutiny regarding acquisition disclosures.

  • ·Q2 earnings miss and guidance cut
  • ·Strategic review/possible sale rumors
  • ·Class action lawsuits regarding Uni-Select acquisition disclosures
  • ·Significant institutional buying vs. insider tax-related selling
02

Financial

average

While fundamentally profitable with a low P/E (approx 10-11x), margins are under pressure from labor costs and weak demand in the wholesale segment, causing a breakdown in historical return patterns.

  • ·P/E Ratio: ~10.5x (Near 5-year lows)
  • ·Free Cash Flow: Weakened due to inventory build-up
  • ·Revenue Growth: Stagnating organic growth offset by acquisitions
  • ·Debt-to-Equity: Elevated following Uni-Select deal
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

45conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
Patient capital
49%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Macroeconomic slowdown reducing collision repair volumes
  • ·Integration risks from large-scale European and Canadian acquisitions
  • ·Legal liabilities regarding financial reporting accuracy
  • ·Technical breakdown of the stock price below key support levels
05

Analyst price target

HOT
32.36 USD 30.0% vs current

Consensus average of 7 analysts · median 30.00

Low 25.00High 40.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-05

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.