Hot or Cold

MPWR stock sentiment todayMonolithic Power Systems Inc

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems Inc
1,218.50 USD 0.99%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 8, 08:00 PM UTC
Dividend 0.66% yield · 8.00 USD/sh
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

A high-margin power management powerhouse riding the AI data center wave with best-in-class efficiency.

Analyzed Sep 8, 2026, 02:37 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneMPWR is HOT — A high-margin power management powerhouse riding the AI data center wave with best-in-class efficiency. 6-month call: USD1433.96 (+17.7%).
6-month price prediction
USD1433.96 17.7%by Mar 2027
73% model confidence
Bear USD891.60Now USD1218.50Bull USD1976.32
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for MPWR. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

834.141,689.89 USD
Growth
1W
-2.6%
1M
-9.0%
3M
-21.5%
6M
+15.2%
YTD
+30.7%
1Y
+41.6%
01

Gossip

bullish

Market chatter is centered on MPWR being a 'hidden' AI winner. As GPUs (like NVIDIA's H100/B200) require massive, precise power delivery, MPWR's dominance in high-performance power modules makes them a critical supply chain partner. There is minor anxiety regarding inventory normalization in the automotive and industrial sectors, but the AI data center narrative is currently overshadowing these cyclical concerns.

  • ·AI server power requirements
  • ·Market share gains against legacy analog players
  • ·Potential for inclusion in major indices or increased institutional weight
02

Financial

strong

MPWR boasts an exceptional balance sheet with zero long-term debt and high cash reserves. Their fabless business model allows for industry-leading gross margins (mid-50s to low-60s) and high ROIC. While the P/E ratio is premium compared to broad semi-conductors, it is supported by a 20%+ revenue CAGR over the last five years.

  • ·Gross Margin: ~55-60%
  • ·Debt-to-Equity: 0.00
  • ·Revenue Growth: Consistently outperforming the analog semi average
02b

Conviction

Hollow

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

30conviction score / 100

Hollow hype — the story is loud but nobody with skin in the game is buying.

Hollow hype — the chatter and the money are pointing in opposite directions. That divergence is the signal.
  • ·Insiders sold a net $81.3M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$81.3M
Patient capital
58%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·High valuation leaves little room for earnings misses
  • ·Geopolitical risk due to significant manufacturing/testing presence in Asia
  • ·Cyclical downturn in automotive and consumer electronics markets
05

Analyst price target

HOT
1,834.91 USD 50.6% vs current

Consensus average of 11 analysts · median 1,820.00

Low 1,575.00High 2,100.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-07-31

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.