ON stock sentiment todayON Semiconductor Corp
Sentiment verdict
Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.
Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically
ON
ON Semiconductor CorpOnsemi is navigating a cyclical trough in automotive and industrial markets, making it a 'wait-and-see' play despite its leadership in Silicon Carbide.
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See exactly how analyst targets, gossip sentiment and momentum are weighted into this 6-month forecast.
Sign in to go Pro →Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for ON. Not financial advice.
Price · last 12 months
Gossip
The stock is currently experiencing significant volatility, evidenced by a 9% after-hours drop following news of a competitor takeover (Synaptics) and general sector rotation. While ON is a darling for the 'EV revolution' narrative, current sentiment is weighed down by a slowing electric vehicle market and inventory corrections.
- ·M&A activity in the semiconductor space (SYNA/ON rumors)
- ·Slowdown in global EV demand impacting SiC adoption
- ·Macroeconomic concerns regarding high-interest rates affecting industrial CAPEX
- ·Institutional rotation out of high-multiple semi stocks
Financial
ON maintains a robust balance sheet with healthy margins for a hardware company, but is currently facing a revenue contraction phase. Their transition to 'Fab-Liter' manufacturing is improving long-term FCF potential, though P/E remains sensitive to cyclical swings.
- ·Forward P/E: ~18x (relatively attractive vs. historical peaks)
- ·Gross Margin: ~45-47% (resilient despite volume headwinds)
- ·Debt-to-Equity: ~0.45 (conservative leverage)
- ·Revenue Growth: Negative YoY (~ -5% to -10%) due to inventory digestion
Conviction
Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.
Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.
- ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.
Unlock with Pro →Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.
Risks
- ·Oversupply of Silicon Carbide (SiC) capacity from Chinese competitors
- ·Slower-than-expected recovery in the automotive sector
- ·Geopolitical risks affecting the manufacturing footprint in East Asia
Peer temperature
How direct competitors stack up against ON right now.
- COLDSTMicroelectronicsSTM
COLDER — lower margins and heavier exposure to the struggling European automotive supply chain.
See full analysis → - COLDWolfspeedWOLF
COLDER — suffering from severe cash burn and execution hurdles in scaling new SiC fabrication facilities.
See full analysis → - HOTTexas InstrumentsTXN
HOTTER — trading at a premium due to its massive analog catalog and superior dividend stability during cyclical downturns.
See full analysis →
- ON-8.6%
- STMicroelectronics—
- Wolfspeed—
- Texas Instruments—
Analyst price target
Consensus average of 21 analysts · median 100.00
Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-09-03
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- StocktwitsON Stock Falls 9% After-Hours While SYNA Soars 12% On $7B Synaptics Takeover
- CNBCJim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.