Hot or Cold

ON stock sentiment todayON Semiconductor Corp

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

ON

ON Semiconductor Corp
76.14 USD 7.27%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 12, 09:16 AM UTC
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

Onsemi is navigating a cyclical trough in automotive and industrial markets, making it a 'wait-and-see' play despite its leadership in Silicon Carbide.

Analyzed Sep 12, 2026, 03:22 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneON is NEUTRAL — Onsemi is navigating a cyclical trough in automotive and industrial markets, making it a 'wait-and-see' play despite its leadership in Silicon Carbide. 6-month call: USD86.82 (+14.0%).
6-month price prediction
USD86.82 14.0%by Mar 2027
69% model confidence
Bear USD47.96Now USD76.14Bull USD125.67
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for ON. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

44.90133.93 USD
Growth
1W
+2.4%
1M
-8.6%
3M
-39.5%
6M
+27.2%
YTD
+34.3%
1Y
+57.8%
01

Gossip

mixed

The stock is currently experiencing significant volatility, evidenced by a 9% after-hours drop following news of a competitor takeover (Synaptics) and general sector rotation. While ON is a darling for the 'EV revolution' narrative, current sentiment is weighed down by a slowing electric vehicle market and inventory corrections.

  • ·M&A activity in the semiconductor space (SYNA/ON rumors)
  • ·Slowdown in global EV demand impacting SiC adoption
  • ·Macroeconomic concerns regarding high-interest rates affecting industrial CAPEX
  • ·Institutional rotation out of high-multiple semi stocks
02

Financial

strong

ON maintains a robust balance sheet with healthy margins for a hardware company, but is currently facing a revenue contraction phase. Their transition to 'Fab-Liter' manufacturing is improving long-term FCF potential, though P/E remains sensitive to cyclical swings.

  • ·Forward P/E: ~18x (relatively attractive vs. historical peaks)
  • ·Gross Margin: ~45-47% (resilient despite volume headwinds)
  • ·Debt-to-Equity: ~0.45 (conservative leverage)
  • ·Revenue Growth: Negative YoY (~ -5% to -10%) due to inventory digestion
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
Patient capital
52%
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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Oversupply of Silicon Carbide (SiC) capacity from Chinese competitors
  • ·Slower-than-expected recovery in the automotive sector
  • ·Geopolitical risks affecting the manufacturing footprint in East Asia
05

Analyst price target

HOT
107.10 USD 40.7% vs current

Consensus average of 21 analysts · median 100.00

Low 85.00High 150.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-09-03

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.