Hot or Cold

PACB stock sentiment todayPacific Biosciences of California, Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — COLD at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

PACB

Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc.
2.61 USD▼ 5.27%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 08:25 AM UTC
COLD75% confidenceSign in to save

Struggling with a high cash burn rate and slowing instrument placements, PacBio is currently a high-risk turnaround play in a dominant Illumina shadow.

Analyzed Nov 1, 2026, 03:32 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“PACB is COLD — Struggling with a high cash burn rate and slowing instrument placements, PacBio is currently a high-risk turnaround play in a dominant Illumina shadow. 6-month call: USD2.38 (-8.7%).”
6-month price prediction
USD2.38▼ 8.7%by May 2027
42% model confidence
Bear USD0.95Now USD2.60Bull USD3.80
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for PACB. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

1.11 – 2.90 USD
Growth
1W
+23.5%
1M
+9.9%
3M
+83.5%
6M
+68.1%
YTD
+41.6%
1Y
+16.3%
01

Gossip

bearish

The narrative has shifted from 'long-read revolution' to 'liquidity crisis.' Investors are frustrated by the significant revenue guidance cuts in 2024 and the failure of the Revio system to ramp up as quickly as promised. Chatter focuses on potential delisting risks or dilutive capital raises.

  • ·Missed Q1/Q2 revenue targets
  • ·Restructuring and workforce reductions
  • ·Skepticism over the 'Onso' short-read system adoption
02

Financial

weak

PacBio is burning through cash at an unsustainable rate relative to its revenue growth. While they have a significant cash runway into 2026 following layoffs, they remain deeply unprofitable with negative gross margins on a GAAP basis.

  • ·Negative 50%+ Operating Margin
  • ·Annual cash burn exceeding $200M
  • ·Slowing Revio system shipments
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

51conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $30K on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$30K
Patient capital
46%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Intense pricing pressure from Illumina's NovaSeq X
  • ·Continued dilution via equity offerings to fund operations
  • ·Slow adoption of long-read sequencing in clinical settings
05

Analyst price target

COLD
2.02 USD▼ 22.5% vs current

Consensus average of 5 analysts · median 2.00

Low 1.25High 3.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-23

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.