Hot or Cold

PCTY stock sentiment todayPaylocity Holding Corp

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

PCTY

Paylocity Holding Corp
170.91 USD▲ 0.26%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 10:18 AM UTC
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

Paylocity is a high-quality cash flow generator navigating a transition from pure growth to value-plus-AI, facing stiff macro headwinds in the SMB payroll sector.

Analyzed Nov 1, 2026, 08:05 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“PCTY is NEUTRAL — Paylocity is a high-quality cash flow generator navigating a transition from pure growth to value-plus-AI, facing stiff macro headwinds in the SMB payroll sector. 6-month call: USD170.77 (-0.1%).”
6-month price prediction
USD170.77▼ 0.1%by May 2027
62% model confidence
Bear USD120.26Now USD170.91Bull USD221.29
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for PCTY. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

95.10 – 177.67 USD
Growth
1W
-3.5%
1M
+19.9%
3M
+22.3%
6M
+56.8%
YTD
+17.3%
1Y
+21.4%
01

Gossip

mixed

The market is currently wrestling with Paylocity's shift in identity. While value-oriented analysts highlight strong cash flow and 'undervalued' metrics (GF Score 88), growth-oriented analysts are wary, citing a need for more aggressive monetization and questioning if new AI recruiting features can offset a cooling labor market.

  • ·AI-driven recruitment product launches
  • ·Recent 3.4% price momentum recovery
  • ·Debate over valuation versus decelerating revenue growth
  • ·Speculation on market share gains in the mid-market segment
02

Financial

strong

PCTY maintains a robust balance sheet with zero long-term debt and industry-leading gross margins (~69%). While revenue growth has slowed from 30%+ to high teens, free cash flow generation remains exceptional, and the company continues to beat earnings estimates consistently.

  • ·Rule of 40 score remains healthy (Growth + FCF margin)
  • ·High recurring revenue model (98%+)
  • ·Price-to-Earnings (P/E) compressed significantly from historical highs
  • ·Strong ROIC indicating efficient capital allocation
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

42conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $620K on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$620K
Patient capital
42%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Macroeconomic sensitivity to small-business hiring slowdowns
  • ·Intense competition from larger incumbents moving down-market
  • ·Potential margin pressure if AI R&D costs scale faster than monetization
05

Analyst price target

NEUTRAL
179.00 USD▲ 4.7% vs current

Consensus average of 19 analysts · median 180.00

Low 120.00High 250.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-30

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.