Hot or Cold

PM stock sentiment todayPhilip Morris International Inc

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

PM

Philip Morris International Inc
184.73 USD 2.06%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 9, 06:24 AM UTC
Dividend 3.18% yield · 5.88 USD/sh
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

PM is successfully pivoting from a legacy cigarette manufacturer to a high-margin nicotine technology powerhouse, driven by ZYN and IQOS dominance.

Analyzed Sep 8, 2026, 09:17 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
TonePM is HOT — PM is successfully pivoting from a legacy cigarette manufacturer to a high-margin nicotine technology powerhouse, driven by ZYN and IQOS dominance. 6-month call: USD197.26 (+6.8%).
6-month price prediction
USD197.26 6.8%by Mar 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD157.85Now USD184.73Bull USD236.68
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for PM. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

144.33200.17 USD
Growth
1W
-4.9%
1M
-3.4%
3M
+3.7%
6M
+5.4%
YTD
+13.9%
1Y
+12.2%
01

Gossip

bullish

The narrative is centered on the 'smoke-free' transition. Wall Street is currently enamored with ZYN's explosive growth in the US and the upcoming nationwide rollout of IQOS, viewing PM as a 'growth' stock trapped in a 'value' sector.

  • ·ZYN nicotine pouch supply chain expansion
  • ·IQOS ILUMA U.S. market entry potential
  • ·Resilience against GLP-1 weight loss drug impact narratives
  • ·Dividend aristocrat status attraction
02

Financial

strong

PM boasts industry-leading operating margins (approx. 39%) and robust free cash flow. While debt-to-equity is high due to the Swedish Match acquisition, the revenue mix is shifting rapidly toward higher-growth, non-combustible products which command premium valuations.

  • ·Forward P/E ~18x
  • ·Dividend Yield ~4.5%
  • ·Double-digit organic revenue growth in smoke-free segments
  • ·Strong pricing power offsetting declining cigarette volumes
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
Patient capital
45%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Regulatory crackdowns on flavored nicotine pouches
  • ·Currency headwinds due to 100% international revenue base
  • ·Litigation risks regarding long-term health effects of heated tobacco
05

Analyst price target

HOT
208.70 USD 13.0% vs current

Consensus average of 10 analysts · median 215.00

Low 175.00High 225.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-25

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.