Hot or Cold

QDEL stock sentiment todayQuidelOrtho Corp

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — COLD at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

QDEL

QuidelOrtho Corp
13.25 USD▼ 1.45%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:31 AM UTC
COLD85% confidenceSign in to save

A victim of the post-pandemic diagnostic hangover, QDEL is struggling with massive debt from the Ortho merger and collapsing COVID-related revenues.

Analyzed Nov 1, 2026, 07:25 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“QDEL is COLD — A victim of the post-pandemic diagnostic hangover, QDEL is struggling with massive debt from the Ortho merger and collapsing COVID-related revenues. 6-month call: USD11.54 (-12.9%).”
6-month price prediction
USD11.54▼ 12.9%by May 2027
42% model confidence
Bear USD4.62Now USD13.25Bull USD18.47
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for QDEL. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

9.96 – 35.38 USD
Growth
1W
-3.5%
1M
+25.7%
3M
-25.2%
6M
+6.7%
YTD
-54.0%
1Y
-52.2%
01

Gossip

bearish

The narrative is dominated by the 'cliff' effect as COVID-19 testing revenue evaporates, leaving the company with a bloated cost structure. Investors are frustrated by the recent CEO transition and a lack of clear guidance on how the integrated QuidelOrtho entity will achieve promised synergies.

  • ·Post-pandemic revenue normalization
  • ·Executive leadership uncertainty
  • ·Debt servicing concerns
  • ·Integration friction from the 2022 merger
02

Financial

weak

The balance sheet is strained by approximately $2.3 billion in long-term debt. Profitability has swung from massive pandemic-era gains to net losses, and margins are being squeezed by higher interest expenses and lower high-margin diagnostic volumes.

  • ·Negative Net Income (TTM)
  • ·High Debt-to-Equity ratio (>1.0)
  • ·Decreasing gross margins as test mix shifts away from respiratory
  • ·P/E ratio currently distorted by earnings volatility
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
40%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Continued decline in respiratory testing demand
  • ·Interest rate pressure on variable-rate debt
  • ·Loss of market share to cheaper generic rapid tests
  • ·Execution risk in integrating the legacy Ortho Clinical Diagnostics business
05

Analyst price target

NEUTRAL
13.63 USD▲ 2.9% vs current

Consensus average of 4 analysts · median 12.50

Low 12.00High 18.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-14

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.