Hot or Cold

USB stock sentiment todayU.S. Bancorp

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 78% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

USB

U.S. Bancorp
62.92 USD 0.14%vs. session open
Live · market openQuote as of Sep 8, 04:30 PM UTC
Dividend 3.31% yield · 2.08 USD/sh
NEUTRAL78% confidenceSign in to save

U.S. Bancorp is a high-quality regional powerhouse trading at a premium, currently balancing steady fee income growth against compressed net interest margins.

Analyzed Sep 8, 2026, 02:41 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneUSB is NEUTRAL — U.S. Bancorp is a high-quality regional powerhouse trading at a premium, currently balancing steady fee income growth against compressed net interest margins. 6-month call: USD66.09 (+5.0%).
6-month price prediction
USD66.09 5.0%by Mar 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD55.68Now USD62.92Bull USD76.50
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for USB. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

45.2865.42 USD
Growth
1W
+1.4%
1M
-1.3%
3M
+14.5%
6M
+21.6%
YTD
+17.5%
1Y
+30.3%
01

Gossip

mixed

Market narrative focuses on USB's ability to outperform pure regional banks due to its national scale and payments business, though recent sentiment is weighed down by the industry-wide 'higher-for-longer' rate environment impacting deposit costs.

  • ·Resilience of the payment services division
  • ·Speculation on capital return post-Basel III endgame revisions
  • ·Stability relative to smaller regional banks during 2023 volatility
02

Financial

strong

USB maintains a superior Return on Common Equity (ROE) compared to most peers and a diversified revenue stream, though net interest margin (NIM) pressure remains a headwind.

  • ·P/E Ratio: ~12.5x (slightly above historical regional average)
  • ·Dividend Yield: ~3.1%
  • ·CET1 Capital Ratio: ~10.5% (strengthening)
  • ·Non-interest income: ~40% of total revenue
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

36conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $5.5M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$5.5M
Patient capital
59%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Increased cost of deposits eroding net interest income
  • ·Exposure to commercial real estate (CRE) office sector
  • ·Regulatory uncertainty regarding capital requirements
05

Analyst price target

HOT
69.89 USD 11.1% vs current

Consensus average of 18 analysts · median 69.00

Low 63.00High 77.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-24

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.