Hot or Cold

YUM stock sentiment todayYum! Brands Inc

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

YUM

Yum! Brands Inc
155.40 USD▼ 0.89%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:29 AM UTC
Dividend 1.93% yield · 3.00 USD/sh
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

A resilient global franchisor trading at a premium valuation while facing a slowdown in low-income consumer spending and geopolitical headwinds.

Analyzed Nov 1, 2026, 08:45 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“YUM is NEUTRAL — A resilient global franchisor trading at a premium valuation while facing a slowdown in low-income consumer spending and geopolitical headwinds. 6-month call: USD163.07 (+4.9%).”
6-month price prediction
USD163.07▲ 4.9%by May 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD134.44Now USD155.40Bull USD191.70
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for YUM. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

135.75 – 168.16 USD
Growth
1W
+3.8%
1M
+14.0%
3M
+4.4%
6M
+0.6%
YTD
+3.3%
1Y
+11.5%
01

Gossip

mixed

The narrative is centered on a 'tale of two consumers.' While digital sales growth remains robust, there is significant chatter regarding sluggish KFC traffic in the U.S. and the impact of Middle East tensions on international sales.

  • ·Digital integration and loyalty program expansion
  • ·Macroeconomic pressure on low-income fast-food consumers
  • ·Geopolitical boycotts impacting KFC and Pizza Hut in MENA regions
  • ·Aggressive unit growth targets (4-5% annually)
02

Financial

strong

Yum! operates a highly efficient asset-light franchising model (98% franchised) that produces consistent cash flow, though the balance sheet carries significant debt typical of high-leverage franchisors.

  • ·Forward P/E: ~25.5x (Premium to historical average)
  • ·Operating Margin: ~32% (Industry leading due to franchise model)
  • ·Free Cash Flow: Robust, supporting steady dividend growth
  • ·Debt-to-EBITDA: Elevated at roughly 5x
02b

Conviction

Strong

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

65conviction score / 100

Strong conviction — insiders and patient capital are backing this.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
58%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Wage inflation and rising commodity costs for franchisees
  • ·Slowing same-store sales growth in the domestic KFC segment
  • ·Currency exchange volatility impacting international royalty conversions
05

Analyst price target

HOT
172.31 USD▲ 10.9% vs current

Consensus average of 16 analysts · median 175.00

Low 150.00High 190.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-26

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.