Hot or Cold

ABNB stock sentiment todayAirbnb, Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 72% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.
164.39 USD▼ 1.37%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 10:45 AM UTC
NEUTRAL72% confidenceSign in to save

Airbnb remains a cash-flow machine, but decelerating room-night growth and regulatory pressures are curbing the 'growth stock' premium.

Analyzed Oct 31, 2026, 11:39 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“ABNB is NEUTRAL — Airbnb remains a cash-flow machine, but decelerating room-night growth and regulatory pressures are curbing the 'growth stock' premium. 6-month call: USD174.72 (+6.3%).”
6-month price prediction
USD174.72▲ 6.3%by May 2027
83% model confidence
Bear USD130.58Now USD164.39Bull USD218.86
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for ABNB. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

111.54 – 190.50 USD
Growth
1W
-4.4%
1M
+2.3%
3M
+9.1%
6M
+18.4%
YTD
+23.6%
1Y
+29.9%
01

Gossip

mixed

The narrative is shifting from 'post-pandemic travel boom' to 'normalization.' Chatter centers on 'Airbnb fatigue' (high cleaning fees), the new AI-driven app overhaul, and the expansion into new verticals like sponsored listings and professional services.

  • ·Regulatory crackdowns in major cities (e.g., NYC, Barcelona, London)
  • ·Integration of AI to improve guest-host matching
  • ·Potential expansion into residential long-term rentals
02

Financial

strong

Exceptional margins and a fortress balance sheet define ABNB. While revenue growth has slowed to the low teens, free cash flow generation remains top-tier for the tech sector.

  • ·Net Income Margin: ~35% (highly efficient)
  • ·Cash & Investments: ~$11B vs zero long-term debt
  • ·P/E Ratio: ~32x (premium relative to legacy OTA peers)
  • ·Free Cash Flow: ~$4B annually
02b

Conviction

Strong

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

65conviction score / 100

Strong conviction — insiders and patient capital are backing this.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
55%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Short-term rental bans and strict licensing laws globally
  • ·Consumer spending shift toward cheaper traditional hotels due to inflation
  • ·Significant stock-based compensation impacting share dilution
05

Analyst price target

HOT
187.33 USD▲ 14.0% vs current

Consensus average of 33 analysts · median 193.00

Low 140.00High 220.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-27

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.