Hot or Cold

EXPE stock sentiment todayExpedia Group, Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.
277.73 USD 0.99%vs. session open
Live · market openQuote as of Sep 11, 03:41 PM UTC
Dividend 0.69% yield · 1.92 USD/sh
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

Expedia is currently riding a massive wave of M&A speculation coupled with successful platform migration and aggressive share buybacks.

Analyzed Sep 10, 2026, 06:43 PM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneEXPE is HOT — Expedia is currently riding a massive wave of M&A speculation coupled with successful platform migration and aggressive share buybacks. 6-month call: USD305.48 (+10.0%).
6-month price prediction
USD305.48 10.0%by Mar 2027
82% model confidence
Bear USD197.10Now USD277.73Bull USD413.87
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for EXPE. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

188.51339.13 USD
Growth
1W
-11.5%
1M
-13.2%
3M
+21.3%
6M
+19.4%
YTD
-3.7%
1Y
+26.5%
01

Gossip

bullish

The primary narrative is dominated by reports of Uber exploring a potential acquisition of Expedia, alongside a leadership transition to CEO Ariane Gorin that is focused on tech stack unification.

  • ·Uber acquisition rumors and strategic synergy potential
  • ·Completion of multi-year technical migration (One Key loyalty program)
  • ·Strong recovery in corporate travel demand
02

Financial

strong

Expedia demonstrates robust free cash flow generation and a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, though it trades at a slight premium following recent price action.

  • ·Forward P/E ratio approximately 14-16x
  • ·Aggressive share repurchase program exceeding $2B annually
  • ·Double-digit EBITDA margin expansion targets
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

46conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $5.0M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$5.0M
Patient capital
61%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·High sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending and macro-economic downturns
  • ·Intense competition from Google's integrated travel search tools
  • ·Integration risks associated with the new unified technology platform
05

Analyst price target

HOT
339.89 USD 22.4% vs current

Consensus average of 27 analysts · median 330.00

Low 285.00High 430.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-31

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.