Hot or Cold

ASR stock sentiment todayGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

ASR

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV
250.86 USD▼ 0.15%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:35 AM UTC
Dividend 2.29% yield · 5.74 USD/sh
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

Dominant tourism exposure via Cancun is offset by regulatory pricing uncertainty and a high valuation relative to historical norms.

Analyzed Oct 31, 2026, 11:48 PM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“ASR is NEUTRAL — Dominant tourism exposure via Cancun is offset by regulatory pricing uncertainty and a high valuation relative to historical norms. 6-month call: USD261.27 (+4.1%).”
6-month price prediction
USD261.27▲ 4.1%by May 2027
81% model confidence
Bear USD210.29Now USD250.86Bull USD312.25
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for ASR. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

230.08 – 381.16 USD
Growth
1W
+1.0%
1M
+6.7%
3M
-10.0%
6M
-16.1%
YTD
-22.5%
1Y
-17.0%
01

Gossip

mixed

Market sentiment is currently balanced between strong post-pandemic travel demand and jitters regarding the Mexican government's decree to change airport tariff structures (MDP). Investors are monitoring the 'nearshoring' narrative in Mexico, though ASR is less leveraged to industrial hubs than its peers.

  • ·Cancun passenger traffic recovery
  • ·Mexican government tariff regulation changes
  • ·Strong peso impact on USD-denominated ADRs
  • ·Expansion of the Maya Train competing with short-haul air travel
02

Financial

strong

ASR maintains industry-leading EBITDA margins (often exceeding 60%) and a robust balance sheet with low net debt/EBITDA. While growth is steady, the recent revision of the Master Development Plan (MDP) poses a risk to future aeronautical revenue per passenger.

  • ·Industry-leading EBITDA margins >65%
  • ·Low Net Debt/EBITDA ratio approx 0.5x
  • ·Strong Dividend Yield typically between 3-5%
  • ·High ROE exceeding 20%
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

45conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
40%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Unilateral changes to the concession framework by the Mexican government
  • ·Concentration risk: Cancun represents the bulk of total revenue
  • ·Currency volatility between the Mexican Peso and USD
05

Analyst price target

HOT
314.50 USD▲ 25.4% vs current

Consensus average of 2 analysts · median 349.00

Low 280.00High 349.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-05

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.