Hot or Cold

OMAB stock sentiment todayGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 72% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

OMAB

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.
102.92 USD▲ 1.03%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:38 AM UTC
Dividend 5.24% yield · 5.39 USD/sh
NEUTRAL72% confidenceSign in to save

OMAB offers robust margins and a 'nearshoring' tailwind, but regulatory uncertainty and recent price target cuts suggest a period of consolidation.

Analyzed Oct 31, 2026, 11:49 PM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“OMAB is NEUTRAL — OMAB offers robust margins and a 'nearshoring' tailwind, but regulatory uncertainty and recent price target cuts suggest a period of consolidation. 6-month call: USD107.09 (+4.1%).”
6-month price prediction
USD107.09▲ 4.1%by May 2027
85% model confidence
Bear USD83.48Now USD102.92Bull USD130.70
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for OMAB. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

88.75 – 134.98 USD
Growth
1W
+4.5%
1M
+6.5%
3M
-3.6%
6M
-1.0%
YTD
-5.5%
1Y
+4.4%
01

Gossip

mixed

The narrative is caught between strong Q3 operational performance (7.7M passengers) and a cooling sentiment from analysts who have downgraded the stock to 'Hold' and lowered price targets. BlackRock’s passive stake provides a floor of institutional confidence, but the market is cautious about peak valuations.

  • ·Nearshoring trend boosting industrial travel to Monterrey
  • ·Institutional backing from BlackRock
  • ·Analyst downgrades and price target reductions
  • ·Consistent Q3 profit growth despite macro headwinds
02

Financial

strong

OMAB maintains industry-leading EBITDA margins (often exceeding 70%) and a high ROE. While the balance sheet is healthy, growth is stabilizing as the post-pandemic travel surge normalizes and the Mexican government's changes to airport tariff structures linger as a long-term risk.

  • ·EBITDA Margin: ~75%
  • ·Dividend Yield: Historically high/variable
  • ·P/E Ratio: ~14.5x (Trailing)
  • ·Passenger Traffic: 7.7M in Q3
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
41%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Mexican regulatory changes to the Master Development Plan (MDP) and tariff caps
  • ·Concentration risk in Monterrey (nearly 50% of traffic)
  • ·Currency volatility (MXN vs USD)
  • ·Dependence on Volaris and VivaAerobus stability
05

Analyst price target

HOT
117.50 USD▲ 14.2% vs current

Consensus average of 2 analysts · median 125.00

Low 110.00High 125.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-27

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.