Hot or Cold

DECK stock sentiment todayDeckers Outdoor Corporation

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

DECK

Deckers Outdoor Corporation
81.99 USD▼ 1.22%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Nov 1, 09:35 AM UTC
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

A brand-powerhouse firing on all cylinders with HOKA's hyper-growth offsetting UGG's seasonal cyclicality.

Analyzed Nov 1, 2026, 12:21 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
Tone“DECK is HOT — A brand-powerhouse firing on all cylinders with HOKA's hyper-growth offsetting UGG's seasonal cyclicality. 6-month call: USD92.37 (+12.7%).”
6-month price prediction
USD92.37▲ 12.7%by May 2027
70% model confidence
Bear USD65.87Now USD81.99Bull USD118.88
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for DECK. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

77.51 – 120.94 USD
Growth
1W
+1.1%
1M
+4.9%
3M
-17.6%
6M
-16.0%
YTD
-23.2%
1Y
+1.1%
01

Gossip

bullish

Market sentiment is high following a recent 6-for-1 stock split aimed at increasing retail accessibility. The narrative focuses on HOKA's successful transition from a niche marathon shoe to a mainstream lifestyle and wellness brand, alongside UGG's regained 'cool factor' through high-end collaborations.

  • ·HOKA brand scaling into global wholesale and DTC
  • ·Post-stock split liquidity and retail interest
  • ·UGG's resilience in the premium fashion segment
  • ·Full-price selling strategy protecting brand equity
02

Financial

strong

Exceptional fundamental profile characterized by high double-digit revenue growth, industry-leading operating margins (approx. 20%+), and a pristine balance sheet with no long-term debt.

  • ·Revenue growth exceeding 20% YoY
  • ·Gross margins consistently above 55%
  • ·Return on Equity (ROE) near 30%
  • ·Significant cash position vs zero debt
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
—
Patient capital
63%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·High P/E valuation relative to legacy footwear peers
  • ·Dependency on HOKA maintaining hyper-growth to justify multiple
  • ·Potential fashion trend shifts impacting UGG sales
05

Analyst price target

HOT
105.67 USD▲ 28.9% vs current

Consensus average of 18 analysts · median 113.00

Low 70.00High 137.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-10-26

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.