Hot or Cold

ENVA stock sentiment todayEnova International, Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 85% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

ENVA

Enova International, Inc.
225.76 USD 0.72%vs. session open
Live · market openQuote as of Sep 8, 05:22 PM UTC
HOT85% confidenceSign in to save

Enova is a machine-learning powerhouse in the subprime lending space, currently firing on all cylinders with record originations and superior risk management.

Analyzed Sep 8, 2026, 03:51 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneENVA is HOT — Enova is a machine-learning powerhouse in the subprime lending space, currently firing on all cylinders with record originations and superior risk management. 6-month call: USD256.58 (+13.7%).
6-month price prediction
USD256.58 13.7%by Mar 2027
78% model confidence
Bear USD183.46Now USD225.75Bull USD329.70
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for ENVA. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

104.01265.45 USD
Growth
1W
-0.9%
1M
-12.3%
3M
+34.4%
6M
+66.0%
YTD
+42.4%
1Y
+94.8%
01

Gossip

bullish

The narrative centers on Enova's successful transition from payday lending to a diversified mix of small business (SMB) and consumer installment loans. Investors are cheering the company's ability to use AI/ML to keep delinquency rates stable even as macroeconomic concerns persist.

  • ·AI-driven credit scoring outperforming traditional FICO models
  • ·Significant growth in the high-margin SMB lending segment
  • ·Aggressive share buyback programs signaling management confidence
02

Financial

strong

Enova boasts robust revenue growth and expanding margins. Unlike many fintechs, they are consistently profitable with a return on equity (ROE) often exceeding 20%. Their balance sheet is well-laddered with diversified funding sources.

  • ·Forward P/E ratio around 8-9x, representing deep value relative to growth
  • ·25%+ year-over-year growth in total originations
  • ·Net charge-off rates remaining within historical ranges despite portfolio growth
  • ·Over $1 billion in total liquidity
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

36conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $6.9M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$6.9M
Patient capital
55%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Regulatory scrutiny on high-APR lending products
  • ·Sensitivity to sudden spikes in unemployment affecting borrower repayment
  • ·Increased cost of capital if interest rates remain 'higher for longer'
05

Analyst price target

HOT
265.00 USD 17.4% vs current

Consensus average of 7 analysts · median 270.00

Low 210.00High 285.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-07-28

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.