Hot or Cold

GFI stock sentiment todayGold Fields Limited

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — NEUTRAL at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

GFI

Gold Fields Limited
47.40 USD 0.48%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 7, 01:47 PM UTC
Dividend 4.46% yield · 2.11 USD/sh
NEUTRAL75% confidenceSign in to save

GFI offers high-quality operational assets and a strong dividend, but its valuation is currently stretched following a significant gold rally and management transitions.

Analyzed Sep 7, 2026, 09:20 AM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneGFI is NEUTRAL — GFI offers high-quality operational assets and a strong dividend, but its valuation is currently stretched following a significant gold rally and management transitions. 6-month call: USD53.55 (+13.0%).
6-month price prediction
USD53.55 13.0%by Mar 2027
55% model confidence
Bear USD29.52Now USD47.40Bull USD77.58
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for GFI. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

31.2561.51 USD
Growth
1W
+3.1%
1M
+27.1%
3M
+32.1%
6M
-9.1%
YTD
+8.8%
1Y
+33.1%
01

Gossip

mixed

The narrative is dominated by the recent leadership change following the failed Yamana Gold bid and the integration of the Salares Norte project. While there is optimism about high gold prices, there is lingering skepticism regarding GFI's M&A strategy and jurisdictional risks in South Africa.

  • ·Operational ramp-up at Salares Norte in Chile
  • ·Executive leadership stabilization
  • ·Safe-haven demand driving gold price sensitivity
  • ·Jurisdictional diversification efforts away from South African deep-level mining
02

Financial

strong

Gold Fields maintains one of the best balance sheets among senior producers, with a very low net debt to EBITDA ratio and a disciplined capital return policy (30-45% of normalized earnings).

  • ·All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) roughly $1,200-$1,300/oz
  • ·Dividend yield typically above industry average (~3-4%)
  • ·P/E ratio currently around 15x-17x forward earnings
  • ·Low Net Debt/EBITDA of ~0.42x
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

49conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders bought a net $36K on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
2
Net insider flow
$36K
Patient capital
15%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Geopolitical instability and labor unrest in South African operations
  • ·Execution risk in ramping up production at the Salares Norte project
  • ·Sensitivity to a strengthening USD which typically pressures gold prices

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.