Hot or Cold

HWM stock sentiment todayHowmet Aerospace Inc.

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — HOT at 88% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NYSE

HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc.
231.53 USD 4.65%vs. session open
After hours · market closedQuote as of Sep 8, 08:10 PM UTC
Dividend 0.24% yield · 0.56 USD/sh
HOT88% confidenceSign in to save

A premier aerospace play benefiting from a massive engine backlog and a rare competitive moat in high-temperature turbine components.

Analyzed Sep 7, 2026, 10:41 PM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
ToneHWM is HOT — A premier aerospace play benefiting from a massive engine backlog and a rare competitive moat in high-temperature turbine components. 6-month call: USD278.04 (+20.1%).
6-month price prediction
USD278.04 20.1%by Mar 2027
68% model confidence
Bear USD214.68Now USD231.53Bull USD341.40
Crowd call · 6 months
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🔒 Full prediction model breakdown

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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for HWM. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

178.98292.65 USD
Growth
1W
-2.1%
1M
-11.0%
3M
+5.2%
6M
+2.0%
YTD
+22.5%
1Y
+44.5%
01

Gossip

bullish

The market views Howmet as a 'pick and shovel' winner of the aerospace recovery; investors are cheering its consistent beat-and-raise cycle and its status as a primary beneficiary of Boeing/Airbus production ramps.

  • ·Surging demand for engine spares due to older fleets flying longer
  • ·Dominant market share in advanced aero-engine castings
  • ·Positive sentiment regarding LEAP engine production stability
02

Financial

strong

Howmet boasts best-in-class EBITDA margins and a rapidly improving balance sheet that has earned recent credit upgrades to investment grade.

  • ·EBITDA margins exceeding 24% with upward trajectory
  • ·Revenue growth sustained in the mid-teens
  • ·Aggressive share buyback program supported by robust Free Cash Flow
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

40conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·Insiders sold a net $11.3M on the open market in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
-$11.3M
Patient capital
60%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

Pro shows every named insider trade in the window (buyer, title, size, price, and whether it was a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 sale) plus the full holder register split into patient capital and fast money.

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·High valuation multiples compared to historical averages
  • ·Sensitivity to titanium supply chain disruptions
  • ·Potential slowdown in commercial wide-body delivery rates
05

Analyst price target

HOT
335.79 USD 45.0% vs current

Consensus average of 14 analysts · median 340.00

Low 280.00High 375.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-09-02

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.