Hot or Cold

PZZA stock sentiment todayPapa John's International Inc

Sentiment verdict

Gossip first, financials second — COLD at 75% confidence.

Last updated · cached analysis, refreshes periodically

NASDAQ

PZZA

Papa John's International Inc
22.71 USD 0.00%vs. previous close
Pre-market · market closedQuote as of Sep 2, 09:31 AM UTC
COLD75% confidenceSign in to save

Struggling with negative comparable sales and leadership transitions, PZZA is currently losing the pizza wars to more technologically efficient peers.

Analyzed Sep 1, 2026, 07:27 PM UTC·Quote: CNBC / Yahoo Finance·News: Google News·Targets: StockAnalysis.com·AI: Lovable AI (google/gemini-3-flash-preview)
TonePZZA is COLD — Struggling with negative comparable sales and leadership transitions, PZZA is currently losing the pizza wars to more technologically efficient peers. 6-month call: USD21.15 (-6.9%).
6-month price prediction
USD21.15 6.9%by Mar 2027
60% model confidence
Bear USD13.24Now USD22.71Bull USD29.06
Crowd call · 6 months
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Full model breakdown (analyst / gossip / momentum weights) is a Pro feature. Modelled for PZZA. Not financial advice.

02·a

Price · last 12 months

23.2355.31 USD
Growth
1W
-2.5%
1M
-24.4%
3M
-26.1%
6M
-23.8%
YTD
-41.7%
1Y
-50.7%
01

Gossip

bearish

The narrative is dominated by concerns over 'pizza fatigue' and a loss of market share to Domino's. Investors are skeptical about the 'Back to Better 2.0' strategy's ability to drive traffic in a price-sensitive consumer environment.

  • ·Negative North American comparable sales growth
  • ·Executive turnover including recent CEO changes
  • ·Pressure from third-party delivery aggregators eroding brand loyalty
02

Financial

average

Margins are under pressure due to commodity inflation and higher labor costs. While the company maintains a steady dividend, debt levels are elevated relative to cash flow, and revenue growth has stalled.

  • ·P/E Ratio: ~16x (historically low but reflects low growth)
  • ·Debt-to-EBITDA: Elevated at approx 3.5x
  • ·Operating Margin: Weakening toward 8-9% range
02b

Conviction

Mixed

Whose money is actually in the stock — insider open-market trades and the patience of the institutional holder base.

55conviction score / 100

Mixed conviction — no decisive signal from insiders or the holder base.

  • ·No open-market insider trades in the last 120 days.
Insider buys (120d)
0
Net insider flow
Patient capital
43%
🔒 Who bought, and who's holding

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Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 + 13F holder register. Option exercises, grants, gifts and tax withholding are excluded — only open-market purchases and sales count. Not financial advice.

03

Risks

watch
  • ·Further traffic erosion if consumer spending weakens further
  • ·Dependency on high-cost third-party delivery platforms
  • ·High interest rate environment impacting franchise expansion capital
05

Analyst price target

HOT
27.00 USD 18.9% vs current

Consensus average of 8 analysts · median 28.00

Low 22.00High 32.00

Source: StockAnalysis.com · updated 2026-08-12

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.